As the surprise victory of Donald J. Trump stuns European Union governments and NATO policy planners alike, Maher Nicolas Firzli, one of the original coiners of the term ‘Trumponomics’, talks to UK, Brazilian and Arabian Gulf experts re “what a second Trump administration means for Britain, Europe and the world”.
In geoeconomics, time is non-linear: by which I mean some localised events can accelerate the pace of global change … And Trump’s comeback is happening precisely when “the New Cold War pitting Washington against Beijing is spilling over ‘systemically’ into international trade, financial markets (listed and private assets) and tech R&D”.
From the generalization of “dual use” export/import limitations across sectors, industries and geographies to the unprecedented weaponization of institutional investments, “nothing will ever be the same”… The European Union (EU) may be caught in the crossfire at the worst possible time for its dwindling growth trajectory (Singapore Economic Forum, Draghi report).
Parts of this talk were first published by Euromoney magazine in London – notably interviews with Jeremy Weltman.